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Trends · Antic Pro
Trends: how often a player cleared today's line
Each player's own game log checked against today's line: last 5, last 10, this season and against today's opponent.
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Every row shows
Hit rate
How often the player went over (or under) today's line in the window, pushes left out.
Windows
Last 5, last 10, this season and head to head against today's opponent.
Best price
The best price on that side at your books, from the live board.
Antic finds the price. You place any bet yourself, at your own book.
What it finds
Every player prop has a line. Trends counts how often the player went over or under that exact line in recent games and shows it next to the best price at your books, so you can see a streak and the price in one place.
What each row shows
- Hit rate
- How often the player went over (or under) today's line in the window, pushes left out.
- Windows
- Last 5, last 10, this season and head to head against today's opponent.
- Best price
- The best price on that side at your books, from the live board.
Worked example
Round, made-up numbers, so you can check every sum. The tool does the same count on real data.
Illustrative example: round numbers, not a live price
Today's line for an example player is over 64.5 rushing yards. In his last 10 games he went over it 7 times and under it 3 times.
- Last 10 games over the line
- 7
- Last 10 games under the line
- 3
- Price at the best book
- −120 · needs 54.5%
Last-10 hit rate
70%
7 overs ÷ (7 overs + 3 unders) = 70%
Ten games is a small sample, and the line already knows about the streak. A streak is not a probability: use it to ask a question, then check the price.
How the number works
What the number means, what goes into it, how fresh it is and what it can't tell you. More on every number in how Antic's numbers work.
What it means
A hit rate is the number of games the player cleared today's line, divided by the games counted in that window. Pushes are left out.
What goes in
- The player's game log from the stats feed
- Today's line for the prop
- The best live price on that side at your books
How fresh it is
Game logs update after each game; the price comes from the live board with its age. When you tap a price, Antic checks it again before it opens the book and tells you if it moved.
What it can't tell you
A streak is not a probability. Ten games is a small sample, and books move lines to reflect form, so a high hit rate can already be in the price.
The catch. A hot streak is not a probability. Lines move to reflect form, so a high hit rate can already be in the price. Antic never places bets.
How to use Trends
Step 1: Pick a league and a prop market.
Step 2: Sort by hit rate in the window you trust.
Step 3: Check the price and the matchup before you bet.
Open it in the web app or the iPhone app. Antic finds the price; you place any bet yourself, at your own book.
Questions
Is a 70% hit rate a 70% chance?
No. It is what happened, not what will. The line may have moved since, the sample is small, and the matchup may be different.
How are pushes counted?
They are left out of the count, so a hit rate is overs (or unders) out of the games that went one way or the other.
How is this different from +EV?
+EV compares a price with a fair chance from the market. Trends only counts the past. Use a trend to ask a question, then check the price.
Get Trends with Antic Pro
7 days free, then $14.99/month or $149.99/year. Every tool, on iPhone and the web, with one account.
Antic is 18+. Betting is 21+ in most states. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Antic never places bets; opening a book is not a bet.